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Labour's victory margin narrows as Reform gains momentum - national readers' poll

General Election 2024 by Nub News Reporter 1st Jul 2024  
Sir Keir Starmer pictured in Bollington last week. (Image - Macclesfield Nub News)
Sir Keir Starmer pictured in Bollington last week. (Image - Macclesfield Nub News)
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Labour's seemingly inevitable march to election victory this week may not be as comprehensive as many are predicting, a second national poll of Nub News readers has indicated.

With our previous national poll a fortnight ago predicting a landslide victory was not nailed on for Sir Keir Starmer, results published this morning (July 1) continue to pour water on the flames of those expecting one of the most devastating election victories in recent years.

What does the National Nub News Readers' Poll Suggest?

The Nub News national results showed Nigel Farage's Reform rising, coming in third place with 20 per cent of the vote (Wiki Commons CC 4.0 Owain Davies Unchanged https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nigel_Farage_Trago_Mills_June_2024.jpg)

While our independent poll of newsletters subscribers have Labour as clear favourites at 32 per cent, that still falls short of many other polls in which the party exceed two fifths of the vote share.

However, as many other commentators are predicting, the national results showed Reform rising, coming in third place with 20 per cent of the vote. This was up from 19 per cent.

They sit just behind the Conservatives (21 per cent) and ahead of the Liberal Democrats at 17 per cent.

Since our national last poll was published on June 18, Labour's lead has grown slightly from 29 per cent to 31 per cent.

The Conservatives have also seen their vote show grow slightly from 19 per cent.

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Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats have seen their share of the votes drop from close to 19 per cent to 16.6 per cent.

Nub News polled over 2000 newsletter subscribers between 12:35pm on Wednesday June 26 and midnight on Friday 28 June. Readers were only able to register a single vote for one of the eight candidates. Results were not weighted demographically. 

What happened in the Macclesfield constituency Readers' Poll?

Labour remain clear favourites to come out on top in Macclesfield next week (July 5), according to the results of a new Nub News Readers' Poll. (Image - Macclesfield Nub News).

In Macclesfield, our poll results have Labour as strong favourites to have an MP elected.

Tim Roca leads the race ahead of David Rutley (Conservatives), with the Labour candidate polling with Nub News newsletter subscribers at 55.61 per cent.

David Rutley is in second with 16.14%. Stephen Broadhurst of Reform UK is third at 15.7 per cent.

David Rutley has won the past four general elections in Macclesfield.

In fourth is Christopher Wellavize. The Independent candidate received 5.38 per cent.

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In fifth place finished Neil Christian of the Liberal Democrats with 4.04 per cent of the vote in this new poll.

Amanda Iremonger of the Green Party came sixth, with 3.14 per cent of the vote.

In seventh place was Dickie Fletcher, of the Social Democratic Party, with 0 per cent of the vote, down from the previous poll.

Nub News has towns all over the UK, with newsletter subscribers that were polled for this survey.

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